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1. End of year " backwardation " – whereby expiration of futures contracts sends the commodity higher could also be a factor at play.
2. Backwardation is a market structure where future contracts for immediate delivery are more expensive than contracts for delivery in the future. It generally occurs when supplies are tight.
3. In addition, the wide backwardation is attracting some consumer material , as order activity fades.
4. In fact, crude began its most recent backwardation in August 2007 at around $75/barrel and increased dramatically over the next nine months to $133/barrel at contango levels.
5. Judging by gold backwardation (discussed later) and the bearish charts on the bubbly debt ETFs, I think the debt monetization and dollar devaluation will begin within the next six weeks.
6. Backwardation is the opposite of contango, representing a situation in which the spot price is higher than the price for future delivery.
7. The floating contango or backwardation of the carry is determined by our brokers. Generally, it depends on the number of days.
8. I consider gold's backwardation as a leading indicator to a dramatic increase in prices.
9. But matched against late July, when the backwardation peaked at $70-$75/ton, the change is enormous.
10. This is called backwardation and signals that investors are spooked by the current environment, but don't necessarily think it will persist.
11. In commodity markets,(sentencedict.com) backwardation is a situation where the cash or near delivery price rises above the price for forward delivery.
12. Well not if you look at the futures market, which is in backwardation now and it's predicting major drops in the price of oil.
13. But despite sharply higher warrant premiums in Singapore, the disappearance of the backwardation has yet to boost CIF premiums elsewhere in Asia. In fact, in several countries they continue to fall.
14. While a contango, the more common scenario with futures, implies that nearby contracts are cheaper than forward ones, backwardation refers to the opposite scenario, in which nearby prices are higher.
15. Contango is the normal relationship between the spot price and the futures price and is the opposite of backwardation.
16. Aluminum's cash-to-three month spread is now back in contango, last quoted at negative $9.75/ton at 1126 GMT. This compares to a slight backwardation of $2.50/ton a week ago.
17. Gold has dropped $40/oz since the end of 2008 as the backwardation trade subsides and dollar rises.
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